Thursday, May 18, 2023

Campaign for Dems everyday; vote out large numbers of Republicans

Dems should win big in 2024 based on women angry about Republicans outlawing abortion , alone . Suburban white women continue to kick ass most recently in Jacksonville Florida a Republican city elected a Democratic woman mayor .

The feminist majority may finally be realized . The Supreme Court has opened Pandora's Box, or regulated it. Furthermore, Dems may get some votes based on gun control if that is sort of reaching a tipping point of enough is enough . Then trumpy's indictments and legal liability may chip off a few more votes from Republicans .

In analyzing electoral votes in this period , I start out from 2016 where Trumpy barely breached the Blue Wall of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin and Florida. In 2020, Biden got Penn, Mich, Wisconsin back ; Florida went way right . Biden only needed Penn, Mich, and Wisconsin to win electoral college, but he padded it with Georgia and Arizona.

Georgia consolidated its anti-Trump majority in the 2022 Senate race . Arizona regular Republicans just expelled a Trumpy Republican from Legislature (!) for perpetuating a fraud on the legislature. I don't think trump can win Arizona. By flipping the legislature, Michigan Dems protect us against those wild schemes to have a Republican legislature decide who gets electoral vote . I think Pennsylvania is protected from that , too. Wisconsin has got a super-majority Rightwing legislature, but , I think Republicans are pulling back from the wildest schemes. If in worst case scenario, Wisconsin fascists do pull a wild one, Georgia and Arizona maintain the Democratic electoral college Blue Wall.

If Republicans don't nominate Trump, they'll lose even bigger because the trump fanatics , a large % of the Republican vote , will bolt . This is part of my past " Republicans are damned if they go with Trump again or damned if they don't " analysis.

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